Here’s a list of each sectional and its contenders, based on the “Genius” POTENTIAL Rating (see Indianamat.com home page). Remember that this rating is designed to predict results. Individual tournament point differentials are predicted by finding the difference in rating of two teams and multiplying by 3. Individual tournament results are obviously widely variable for a number of reasons, so these point spreads are not nearly as effective as the “straight-up” point spread differentials you can pull from POTENTIAL for dual matches. This is why these tournament results (like other individual tournaments) will only be weighted half as much as duals. Here’s a breakdown of the outlook for each sectional:
1. East Chicago Central (10), 9 am CT
Favorite: Munster (GeniusPO #33)
Other contenders: Lake Central (-25.5 points)
My pick: Munster
2. Calumet (8 ), 9 am CT
Favorite: Merrillville (GeniusPO #5)
Next: Calumet (-108.5 points)
My pick: Merrillville
3. Crown Point (8 ), 9 am CT
Favorite: Crown Point (GeniusPO #8)
Next: Kankakee Valley (-85.5 points)
My pick: Crown Point
4. LaPorte (8 ), 9 am CT
Favorite: Portage (GeniusPO #11)
Next: Chesterton (-73.5 points)
My pick: Portage
5. Mishawaka (9), 9 am
Favorite: Mishawaka (GeniusPO #1)
Other contenders: Penn (-52.5 points)
My pick: Mishawaka
6. Plymouth (9), 9 am
Favorite: Warsaw (GeniusPO #95)
Other contenders: Wawasee (-19 points), Plymouth (-27), Culver Academies (-39), Rochester (-43)
My pick: Warsaw
7. Twin Lakes (11), 9 am
Favorite: Logansport (GeniusPO #109)
Other contenders: Pioneer (-20 points), Winamac (-25.5), Rensselaer Central (-26), West Central (-39.5)
My pick: Logansport
8. Lafayette Jefferson (10), 9 am
Favorite: McCutcheon (GeniusPO #23)
Other contenders: Lafayette Jeff (-10.5 points), W.L. Harrison (-28), Delphi (-41)
My pick: McCutcheon
9. Elkhart Memorial (8 ), 9 am
Favorite: Jimtown (GeniusPO #18)
Other contenders: Goshen (-2 points), Elkhart Memorial (-16.5), Fairfield (-53)
My pick: Elkhart Memorial
10. Westview (10), 9 am
Favorite: Prairie Heights (GeniusPO #54)
Other contenders: DeKalb (-4 points), East Noble (-31)
My pick: Prairie Heights
11. Carroll (Fort Wayne) (11), 8 am
Favorite: FW Dwenger (GeniusPO #25)
Other contenders: Carroll (-8 points), Garrett (-10), Whitko (-11), Leo (-46.5)
My pick: Whitko
12. New Haven (10), 8:30 am
Favorite: Homestead (GeniusPO #40)
Other contenders: New Haven (-47 points), Heritage (-49.5)
My pick: Homestead
13. Peru (9), 9 am
Favorite: Huntington North (GeniusPO #30)
Other contenders: Southwood (-42.5 points), Peru (-48.5)
My pick: Huntington North
14. Oak Hill (10), 9 am
Favorite: Marion (GeniusPO #85)
Other contenders: Eastern (Greentown) (-26.5 points), Kokomo (-31.5), Western (-34.5)
My pick: Marion
15. Jay County (9), 8:30 am
Favorite: Bellmont (GeniusPO #15)
Other contenders: South Adams (-44.5 points), Adams Central (-61.5)
My pick: Bellmont
16. Delta (10), 9 am
Favorite: Yorktown (GeniusPO #2)
Next: Muncie Southside (-298.5) (Note: GeniusPO predictive ability not accurate with such large separation)
My pick: Yorktown
17. Crawfordsville (9), 9 am
Favorite: Fountain Central (GeniusPO #56)
Other contenders: South Vermillion (-31 points), North Vermillion (-33.5), Crawfordsville (-41)
My pick: Fountain Central
18. Zionsville (12), 8:30 am
Favorite: Carmel (GeniusPO #22)
Other contenders: Westfield (-9.5 points), Hamilton Southeastern (-10), Zionsville (-36.5)
My pick: Carmel
19. Hamilton Heights (12), 9 am
Favorite: Noblesville (GeniusPO #48)
Other contenders: Pendleton Heights (-13 points), Alexandria (-34), Tri-Central (-36)
My pick: Pendleton Heights
20. Lawrence Central (11), 8:30 am
Favorite: Cathedral (GeniusPO #13)
Other contenders: Lawrence North (-28.5 points), North Central (-46)
My pick: Cathedral
21. Decatur Central (11), 9 am
Favorite: Perry Meridian (GeniusPO #3)
Next: Pike (-87 points)
My pick: Perry Meridian
22. Shelbyville (10), 9 am
Favorite: Roncalli (GeniusPO #14)
Other contenders: New Palestine (-14 points), Warren Central (-45.5)
My pick: New Palestine
23. Tri (11), 9 am
Favorite: New Castle (GeniusPO #41)
Other contenders: Rushville (-47 points)
My pick: New Castle
24. Franklin County (9), 9 am
Favorite: South Dearborn (GeniusPO #59)
Other contenders: East Central (-34.5 points), Connersville (-43), Union County (-48)
My pick: South Dearborn
25. Avon (10), 8:30 am
Favorite: Brownsburg (GeniusPO #46)
Other contenders: Danville (-2 points), Avon (-6), Cascade (-33.5)
My pick: Avon
26. Mooresville (8 ), 9 am
Favorite: Franklin (GeniusPO #12)
Other contenders: Center Grove (-31 points), Mooresville (-54)
My pick: Franklin
27. Northview (9), 9:30 am
Favorite: Bloomington South (Genius PO #9)
Next: Northview (-122 points)
My pick: Bloomington South
28. Jennings County (9), 9 am
Favorite: Jennings County (Genius PO #63)
Other contenders: Columbus North (-10 points), Columbus East (-14)
My pick: Jennings County
29. Jeffersonville (10), 9 am
Favorite: Jeffersonville (Genius PO #16)
Next: Floyd Central (-98.5 points)
My pick: Jeffersonville
30. Southridge (10), 9 am
Favorite: Jasper (Genius PO #71)
Next: Knox (-98 points)
My pick: Jasper
31. Castle (9), 9 am CT
Favorite: Castle (GeniusPO #7)
Next: Heritage Hills (-59 points)
My pick: Castle
32. Evansville Central (9), 9 am CT
Favorite: Evansville Reitz (Genius PO #4)
Other contenders: Evansville Mater Dei (-18.5 points)
My pick: Evansville Reitz
